ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY ON FEASIBILITY OF PASSENGER MULTIMODAL TRANSPORTATION APPOINTMENT
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
Purpose: To study the impact of multimodal transportations on long-distance passenger transportations at the landfill of “FPC” Ltd. since in modern realities, train traffic planning without taking into account passenger demand can reduce railway competitive advantages in the market of transport mixed kind transportation and in the future, can lead to passenger dissatisfaction. To show the importance of making traffic schedule in accordance with passenger demand. To consider the matter on necessity of the supplement of existing approaches to multimodal route selection and on possibility to apply a regression model to forecast passenger flows. To pursue the testing of the developed methodology on the example of particular multimodal route. Methods: Comparison of existing approaches to multimodal transportation organization and their complement. Methods of mathematical statistics for passenger traffic flow forecasting. Results: The influence of multimodal transportations on long-distance passenger transportations at “FPC” Ltd landfill is considered. The criteria of multimodal transportation are defined. The methodology for feasibility assessment of multimodal route organization is proposed that allows estimating expected profit from transportation organization as well as predicting transportation impact on transportation process indicators. Practical importance: The recommendations and approaches proposed in the developed by the author methodology can be used for multimodal route development. The developed algorithm makes it possible to assess the prospects for passenger traffic change and allows yet at the preliminary selection stage for multimodal transportation organization options to perform a preliminary analysis of this organization economic feasibility.

Keywords:
Multimodal transportations, passenger traffic, analytical reporting, regression model, coordinated traffic schedule
Text
Publication text (PDF): Read Download
References

1. O Strategii razvitiya zheleznodorozhnogo transporta v Rossiyskoy Federacii do 2030 g. (vmeste s Planom meropriyatiy po realizacii v 2008-2015 gg. Strategii razvitiya zheleznodorozhnogo transporta v Rossiyskoy Federacii do 2030 g.): [postanovlenie] prinyato Pravitel'stvom Rossiyskoy Federacii 17 iyunya 2008 g. № 877-r.

2. Kurenkov P. Sinhromodal'nye i ko-modal'nye perevozki, a-modal'nyy buking i trimodal'nye terminaly kak perspektivnye napravleniya razvitiya transportnoy logistiki / P. Kurenkov, D. Preobrazhenskiy, A. Astaf'ev i dr. // Logistika. - 2018. - № 12(145). - S. 34-39.

3. Pokrovskaya O. D. «Sbityy pricel» klientoorientirovannosti / O.D. Pokrovskaya // RZhD-Partner. - 2016. - URL: https://www.rzd-partner.ru/logistics/news/sbityi-pritsel--klientoorientirovannosti-414174.

4. Pokrovskaya O. Evolutionary-Functional Approach to Transport Hubs Classification / O. Pokrovskaya, R. Fedorenko // Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing. - 2020. Vol. 982. - Pp. 356-365.

5. Mohon'ko V. P. Situacionnoe upravlenie perevozochnym processom / V. P. Mohon'ko, V. S. Isakov, P. V. Kurenkov // Transport: nauka, tehnika, upravlenie: cb. OI / VINITI. - 2004. - № 11. - S. 14-16.

6. Gasparik J. New Methodology for Assessing Transport Connections Depending on the Integrated Transport Network / J. Gasparik, V. Luptak, P. Mesko // Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Traffic and Transport Engineering (ICTTE). - Belgrade, Serbia, 2016. - Pp. 388-392.

7. Kotenko A. G. Mul'timodal'nye perevozki kak mehanizm povysheniya konkurentosposobnosti zheleznodorozhnyh passazhirskih perevozok / A. G. Kotenko, O. P. Kizlyak, T. A. Malahova. // Problemy bezopasnosti na transporte: materialy IX Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferencii, Gomel', 28-29 noyabrya 2019 g. / Pod obsch. red. Yu. I. Kulazhenko. - Gomel': Uchrezhdenie obrazovaniya «Belorusskiy gosudarstvennyy universitet transporta», 2019. - S. 138-140.

8. Kotlyarenko A. F. Logistizaciya informacionnyh tehnologiy na transportnyh stykah (v morskih portah i pogranperehodah) / A. F. Kotlyarenko, P. V. Kurenkov // Transport. Ekspedirovanie i logistika. - 2002. - № 3. - S. 11.

9. Gorin V. S. Nauchnaya mysl' v razvitii transporta Rossii: istoricheskaya retrospektiva, problemnye voprosy i strategicheskie orientiry: kollektivnaya monografiya / V. S. Gorin, V. A. Persianov, A. A. Stepanov i dr. / OOO «Translit». - M., 2019. - 496 s.

10. Kurenkov P. Sinhromodal'nye i ko-modal'nye perevozki, a-modal'nyy buking i trimodal'nye terminaly kak perspektivnye napravleniya razvitiya transportnoy logistiki / P. Kurenkov, D. Preobrazhenskiy, A. Astaf'ev // Logistika. - 2018. - № 12(145). - S. 34-39.

11. Mohon'ko V. P. Situacionnoe upravlenie perevozochnym processom / V. P. Mohon'ko, V. S. Isakov, P. V. Kurenkov // Transport: nauka, tehnika, upravlenie. Nauchnyy informacionnyy sbornik. - 2004. - № 11. - S. 14

12. Andronov S. A. Opredelenie nailuchshih modeley prognozirovaniya passazhiropotokov v aeroportu Pulkovo v usloviyah normal'noy raboty i krizisa / S. A. Andronov // Sistemnyy analiz i logistika. - 2020. - № 2(24). - S. 13-29.

13. Zhuravskaya M. A. O razmeschenii ostanovochnyh punktov pri osuschestvlenii mul'timodal'nyh passazhirskih perevozok / M. A. Zhuravskaya, A. L. Kazakov, P. A. Parsyurova // Transport Urala. - 2012. - № 4. - S. 50-53.

14. Vakulenko S. P. Mul'timodal'nye passazhirskie perevozki s uchastiem AO «FPK» / S. P. Vakulenko, E. V. Kopylova, E. B. Kulikova i dr. - M.: MGUPS (MIIT), 2015. - 100 s.

15. Malahova T. A. Perspektivy razvitiya mul'timodal'nyh perevozok v dal'nem passazhirskom soobschenii / T. A. Malahova, Ya. V. Kukushkina // Transportnye sistemy i tehnologii. - 2019. - T. 5. - № 4. - S. 16-24. - DOI:https://doi.org/10.17816/transsyst20195416-24.

16. Pokrovskaya O. Assessment of Transport and Storage Systems / O. Pokrovskaya, R. Fedorenko // Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing. - 2020. - Vol. 1115 AISC. - Pp. 570-577.

17. Baritko A. L. Organizaciya i tehnologiya vneshnetorgovyh perevozok / A. L. Baritko, P. V. Kurenkov // Zheleznodorozhnyy transport. - 1998. - № 8.

18. Kurenkov P. V. Finansovo-ekonomicheskoe reshenie problemy prigorodnyh perevozok / P. V. Kurenkov, S. P. Vakulenko // Ekonomika zheleznyh dorog. - 2012. - № 12. - S. 96.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?