Russian Federation
Purpose: Quantitative assessment of the possibility of using the “ship-or-pay” mechanism to finance substage 3.1 of the modernization of the Eastern polygon in the medium and long term. Methods: Generalization, analysis, systematization, comparative method, statistical method, econometric modeling have been used. Results: A methodology has been developed for assessing the coverage of the required financing for the modernization of the Eastern polygon using ship-or-pay agreements. Using the developed methodology, a forecast assessment of the financing coverage for substage 3.1 of the modernization of the Eastern polygon has been made in the medium and long term. The obtained estimate is also compared with the estimate calculated on the basis of data from JSCo “Russian Railways” on the volume of requested funding from the National Welfare Fund. Practical significance: The results obtained can be used to formulate a policy for using ship-or-pay contracts to finance the modernization of railway infrastructure, as well as in further research into the possibilities of using the ship-or-pay mechanism on transport.
Ship-or-pay mechanism, railway infrastructure, financing, modernization, Eastern polygon, forecast
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